Deep learning-based clinical-radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in patients with rectal cancer: a two-center study

Abstract

Background: Precise preoperative evaluation of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is crucial for ensuring effective treatment for rectal cancer (RC). This research aims to develop a clinical-radiomics nomogram based on deep learning techniques, preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical characteristics, enabling the accurate prediction of LNM in RC.

Materials and methods: Between January 2017 and May 2023, a total of 519 rectal cancer cases confirmed by pathological examination were retrospectively recruited from two tertiary hospitals. A total of 253 consecutive individuals were selected from Center I to create an automated MRI segmentation technique utilizing deep learning algorithms. The performance of the model was evaluated using the dice similarity coefficient (DSC), the 95th percentile Hausdorff distance (HD95), and the average surface distance (ASD). Subsequently, two external validation cohorts were established: one comprising 178 patients from center I (EVC1) and another consisting of 88 patients from center II (EVC2). The automatic segmentation provided radiomics features, which were then used to create a Radscore. A predictive nomogram integrating the Radscore and clinical parameters was constructed using multivariate logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to evaluate the discrimination capabilities of the Radscore, nomogram, and subjective evaluation model, respectively.

Results: The mean DSC, HD95 and ASD were 0.857 ± 0.041, 2.186 ± 0.956, and 0.562 ± 0.194 mm, respectively. The nomogram, which incorporates MR T-stage, CEA, CA19-9, and Radscore, exhibited a higher area under the ROC curve (AUC) compared to the Radscore and subjective evaluation in the training set (0.921 vs. 0.903 vs. 0.662). Similarly, in both external validation sets, the nomogram demonstrated a higher AUC than the Radscore and subjective evaluation (0.908 vs. 0.735 vs. 0.640, and 0.884 vs. 0.802 vs. 0.734).

Conclusion: The application of the deep learning method enables efficient automatic segmentation. The clinical-radiomics nomogram, utilizing preoperative MRI and automatic segmentation, proves to be an accurate method for assessing LNM in RC. This approach has the potential to enhance clinical decision-making and improve patient care.

Research registration unique identifying number uin: Research registry, identifier 9158, https://www.researchregistry.com/browse-the-registry#home/registrationdetails/648e813efffa4e0028022796/.

Keywords: deep learning; lymph node metastasis; magnetic resonance imaging; radiomics; rectal cancer.