Population-Based Artificial Intelligence Assessment of Relationship Between the Risk Factors for Diabetic Retinopathy in Indian Population

Ophthalmic Epidemiol. 2023 Dec 12:1-7. doi: 10.1080/09286586.2023.2285971. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Purpose: Risk factors (RFs), like 'body mass index (BMI),' 'age,' and 'gender' correlate with Diabetic Retinopathy (DR) diagnosis and have been widely studied. This study examines how these three secondary RFs independently affect the predictive capacity of primary RFs.

Methods: The dataset consisted of four population-based studies on the prevalence of DR and associated RFs in India between 2001 and 2010. An Autoencoder was employed to categorize RFs as primary or secondary. This study evaluated six primary RFs coupled independently with each secondary RF on five machine-learning models.

Results: The secondary RF 'gender' gave a maximum increase in Area under the curve (AUC) score to predict DR when combined separately with 'insulin treatment,' 'fasting plasma glucose,' 'hypertension history,' and 'glycosylated hemoglobin' with a maximum increase in AUC for the Naive Bayes model from 0.573 to 0.646, for the Support Vector Machines (SVM) model from 0.644 to 0.691, for the SVM model from 0.487 to 0.607, and for the Decision Tree model from 0.8 to 0.848, respectively. The secondary RFs 'age' and 'BMI' gave a maximum increase in AUC score to predict DR when combined separately with 'diabetes mellitus duration' and 'systolic blood pressure,' with a maximum increase in AUC for the SVM model from 0.389 to 0.621, and for the Decision Tree model from 0.617 to 0.713, respectively.

Conclusion: The risk factor 'gender' was the best secondary RF in predicting DR compared to 'age' and 'BMI,' increasing the predictive power of four primary RFs.

Keywords: Diabetic retinopathy; autoencoder; feature selection; primary; risk factor; secondary.