Assessing the causal relationship between COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 syndrome: A Mendelian randomisation study

Abstract

Background: In the aftermath of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, we sought to explore the causal association between COVID-19 and 17 prevalent post-COVID-19 syndrome (PCS) symptoms using Mendelian randomisation (MR) methodology.

Methods: We used 22 extensive genome-wide association study (GWAS) data sets, incorporating genetic variants as instrumental variables. Univariate Mendelian randomisation (UVMR) analyses involved 15 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for COVID-19 patients, 33 for hospitalised COVID-19 patients, and 29 for patients with severe respiratory symptoms due to COVID-19. Furthermore, we further used multivariable Mendelian randomisation (MVMR) analyses based on 93 SNPs for COVID-19 patients, 105 for hospitalised COVID-19 patients, and 99 for patients with severe respiratory symptoms due to COVID-19. With these analyses, we aimed to assess the causal associations between varying levels of COVID-19 infection and 17 prevalent PCS symptoms while accounting for the influence of educational and income levels.

Results: UVMR analysis identified potential causal effects of COVID-19 genetic susceptibility on myalgia and pain in various regions. Hospitalised COVID-19 was potentially linked to erectile dysfunction and alopecia areata. Very severe respiratory confirmed patients exhibited increased pain and tobacco use. Meanwhile, the MVMR analysis demonstrated a potential causal link between hospitalised COVID-19 and heart arrhythmia, and a protective effect of COVID-19 on tobacco use after adjusting for educational and income levels.

Conclusions: Our MR analysis provides compelling evidence of causal associations between genetic susceptibility to COVID-19 and specific PCS symptoms, in which educational and income levels play a mediating role. These findings shed light on PCS pathogenesis and underscore the importance of considering social factors in its management. Tailored interventions and policies are crucial for PCS-affected individuals' well-being. Further research is needed to explore the impact of social determinants on COVID-19 patients and the wider population.