Quantifying dispersal between two colonies of northern elephant seals across 17 birth cohorts

PLoS One. 2023 Nov 30;18(11):e0288921. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0288921. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Dispersal drives extinction-recolonization dynamics of metapopulations and is necessary for endangered species to recolonize former ranges. Yet few studies quantify dispersal and even fewer examine consistency of dispersal over many years. The northern elephant seal (Mirounga angustirostris) provides an example of the importance of dispersal. It quickly recolonized its full range after near extirpation by 19th century hunting, and though dispersal was observed it was not quantified. Here we enumerate lifetime dispersal events among females marked as pups at two colonies during 1994-2010, then correct for detection biases to estimate bidirectional dispersal rates. An average of 16% of females born at the Piedras Blancas colony dispersed northward 200 km to breed at Año Nuevo, while 8.0% of those born at Año Nuevo dispersed southward to Piedras Blancas. The northward rate fluctuated considerably but was higher than southward in 15 of 17 cohorts. The population at Piedras Blancas expanded 15-fold during the study, while Año Nuevo's declined slightly, but the expectation that seals would emigrate away from high density colonies was not supported. During the 1990s, dispersal was higher away from the small colony toward the large. Moreover, cohorts born later at Piedras Blancas, when the colony had grown, dispersed no more than early cohorts. Consistently high natal dispersal in northern elephant seals means the population must be considered a single large unit in terms of response to environmental change. High dispersal was fortuitous to the past recovery of the species, and continued dispersal means elephant seals will likely expand their range further.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Birth Cohort
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Piedra*
  • Seals, Earless* / physiology

Grants and funding

The research was funded by numerous grants over 30 years to DPC and BH, from the National Science Foundation U.S., Office of Naval Research, Bureau of Land Management, Tagging of Pacific Pelagics program, National Ocean Partnership Program, International Association of Oil and Gas Producers contract JIP2207-23, the Moore, Packard, and Sloan Foundations, University of California, Santa Cruz, and U.S. Geological Survey. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.