Uncovering the asymmetric impacts of economic policy uncertainty on green financial markets in China

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Dec;30(60):126214-126226. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-31122-2. Epub 2023 Nov 27.

Abstract

Green finance is considered a novel tool of financing to promote the development of the green economy, which has huge investment attractiveness. Previous studies detected the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the green financial markets are mixed. To this end, this study deeply investigates the asymmetric and heterogeneous impacts of EPU on the green bond and green stock markets based on the quantile-on-quantile (QQ) method. Using the data of China Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (CNEPU) and green financial indices, we get some interesting results. (1) EPU has an overall negative effect on the green financial markets, and the green stock market reacts more strongly than the green bond market. (2) For green bond market, the higher quantiles of EPU on a bear market have more significant effect than that on a bull market. (3) For green stock market, a negative effect of EPU on green stock market is observed for the lower quantiles of EPU, while a positive effect is noted at the highest quantiles of EPU. This paper could provide a reference for investors making green investment strategies and for policymakers making policies to promote green development.

Keywords: Asymmetric impact; China; Economic policy uncertainty; Green bond index; Green stock index; Quantile-on-quantile.

MeSH terms

  • China
  • Economic Development
  • Investments*
  • Policy*
  • Uncertainty