Response of a three-species cyclic ecosystem to a short-lived elevation of death rate

Sci Rep. 2023 Nov 25;13(1):20740. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-48104-6.

Abstract

A balanced ecosystem with coexisting constituent species is often perturbed by different natural events that persist only for a finite duration of time. What becomes important is whether, in the aftermath, the ecosystem recovers its balance or not. Here we study the fate of an ecosystem by monitoring the dynamics of a particular species that encounters a sudden increase in death rate. For exploration of the fate of the species, we use Monte-Carlo simulation on a three-species cyclic rock-paper-scissor model. The density of the affected (by perturbation) species is found to drop exponentially immediately after the pulse is applied. In spite of showing this exponential decay as a short-time behavior, there exists a region in parameter space where this species surprisingly remains as a single survivor, wiping out the other two which had not been directly affected by the perturbation. Numerical simulations using stochastic differential equations of the species give consistency to our results.

MeSH terms

  • Computer Simulation
  • Models, Biological*
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Population Dynamics