Performance of fetal ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging in predicting birthweight according to the test-to-delivery interval: A cohort study

Abstract

Objective: To assess the influence of the test-to-delivery interval (TDI) on the performance of ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for predicting birthweight (BW).

Study design: This is a secondary analysis of a prospective, single center, blinded cohort study that compared MRI and US for the prediction of BW ≥ 95th percentile in singleton pregnancies. Patients that were included in the initial study underwent US and MRI for estimation of fetal weight between 36 + 0/7 and 36 + 6/7 weeks of gestation (WG). The primary outcome of the current study was to report the changes of US and MRI sensitivity and specificity in the prediction of BW > 95th percentile, BW > 90th percentile, BW < 10th percentile, and BW < 5th percentile, according to the TDI. The secondary outcome was to represent the performance of both tools in the prediction of BW > 90th percentile when TDI is<2 weeks, between 2 and 4 weeks, and>4 weeks. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed accordingly.

Results: 2378 patients were eligible for final analysis. For the prediction of BW > 95th or 90th percentile, the sensitivity of MRI remains high until 2 weeks, and it decreases slowly between 2 and 4 weeks, in contrast to the sensitivity of US which decreases rapidly 2 weeks after examination (p < 0.001). For the prediction of BW < 10th or 5th percentile, the sensitivity of both tools decreases in parallel between 1 and 2 weeks. The specificities of both tools remain high from examination till delivery. These findings are reproducible with the use of the antenatal customized and the postnatal national growth charts.

Conclusion: The performance of MRI in the prediction of BW, especially in large-for-gestational age, is maximal when delivery occurs within two weeks of the examination, decreasing slightly thereafter, in contrast with the performance of US which decreases drastically over time.

Keywords: Birth weight; Fetal growth retardation; Fetal macrosomia; Fetal weight; Magnetic resonance imaging; Ultrasonography.