Statins and new-onset diabetes in primary prevention setting: an updated meta-analysis stratified by baseline diabetes risk

Abstract

Aims: The use of statins has been associated with an increased risk of new-onset diabetes. The characteristics of the population could influence this association. The objective of this study was to determine the risk of new-onset diabetes with the use of statins in patients in primary prevention, with an assessment of the results according to the baseline risk of developing diabetes of the included population.

Methods: We performed an updated meta-analysis including randomized trials of statin therapy in primary prevention settings that report new-onset diabetes. The rate of new cases of diabetes in the control arms was estimated for each study. The studies were classified into two groups (low rate: < 7.5 events per 1000 patients-year; high rate; ≥ 7.5 events per 1000 patients-year). The fixed-effects model was performed.

Results: Eight studies (70,453 patients) were included. Globally, statin therapy was associated with an increased risk of new-onset diabetes (OR 1.1; 95% CI 1.0-1.2, I² 35%). When we analyzed the studies according to the baseline diabetes risk in the control groups, the results showed that there was a greater risk only in the studies with a high baseline rate (OR 1.2; 95% CI 1.1-1.3, I² 0%; interaction p value = 0.01).

Conclusion: Globally, the use of statins in patients in primary prevention was associated with an increased risk of new-onset diabetes. In the stratified analysis, this association was observed only in the group of studies with a high baseline rate of events.

Keywords: New-onset diabetes; Primary prevention, meta-analysis; Statins.