A systematic analysis of chronic kidney disease burden attributable to lead exposure based on the global burden of disease study 2019

Abstract

Aim: As an important toxic heavy metal, lead exposure can lead to the occurrence of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the analysis of its disease burden pattern on a global scale is lacking. This study aimed to analyze the CKD burden attributable to lead exposure globally, regionally and temporally, as well as to examine the role of socio-economic factors.

Method: This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. We obtained the global burden of CKD caused by lead exposure between 1990 and 2019, and stratified this burden according to factors such as gender, age, GBD regions, and countries. From 1990 to 2019, the changing trend of the disease burden of CKD attributed to lead exposure was estimated using Joinpoint regression model with the average annual percent change (AAPC) estimated. Finally, the relationship between country-level socio-economic factors and lead exposure related CKD burden was explored using a panel data model analysis.

Results: In 2019, worldwide, there were 52.94 thousand deaths (95 % uncertainty interval (UI): 31.64, 76.23) and 1225.2 thousand disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) (95 % UI: 707.88, 1818) of CKD caused by lead exposure, accounting for 3.71 % of total CKD deaths and 2.95 % of total CKD DALYs. The age-standardized death and DALY rates per 100,000 population were 0.68 (95 % UI: 0.40, 0.98) and 15.02 (95 % UI: 8.68, 22.26) respectively, indicating an upward trend and stable trend between 1990 and 2019. However, the age-standardized rates attributed to lead exposure showed a wide variability across regions, with the highest rates in Central Latin America and the lowest in Eastern Europe. Moreover, the results of panel model analysis indicated that GDP growth was positively associated with lead exposure related CKD death rate and DALY rate. However, there were inverse associations between life expectancy at birth and hospital beds (per 1000 people) with lead exposure-related CKD DALY rate.

Conclusion: In summary, a significant burden of CKD can be attributed to lead exposure, with noticeable regional discrepancies. Findings here are valuable to deploy efficient measures at curbing lead exposure worldwide.

Keywords: Chronic kidney disease; Global Burden of Disease study; Lead exposure; Temporal trend.