The possible role of quinolinic acid as a predictive marker in patients with SARS-CoV-2

Abstract

Background and aims: Quinolinic acid (QA) is a metabolite of the kynurenine pathway, which is activated by inflammatory stimuli during viral infection. We investigated the role of QA in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2, particularly its prognostic value for survival.

Methods: Overall, 104 unvaccinated inpatients were included, divided into a survival (N = 80) and a deceased group (N = 24). Plasma levels of tryptophan, kynurenine, QA, C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) were measured on admission and after seven days. The QA/TRP ratio and the relative differences between the measurements for QA (QA-Diff) and QA/TRP (Diff-QA/TRP) were calculated.

Results: Among the kynurenine pathway markers, QA-Diff showed the highest discriminatory power for the survival prognosis (Youden index 0.467, cut-off -1.3 %, AUC 0.733, p < 0.001, sensitivity 0.79, specificity 0.675). Among the inflammatory markers, CRP showed the highest discriminatory power (Youden index 0.533, cut-off 25.0 mg/L, AUC 0.794, p < 0.001, sensitivity 0.958, specificity 0.575). A significant correlation between QA and PCT was found on admission and after one week (Spearman's rho 0.455 and 0.539, all p-values < 0.001).

Conclusions: QA may serve as prognostic marker for survival in patients with SARS-CoV-2. The repeated measurements during the first week of the disease may enhance the prognostic power.

Keywords: Kynurenine pathway; Quinolinic acid; SARS-CoV-2.