Factors affecting the accuracy of genomic prediction in joint pig populations

Abstract

Genomic prediction (GP) has greatly advanced animal and plant breeding over the past two decades. GP in joint populations is a feasible method to improve the accuracy of genomic estimated breeding values in small populations. However, there is still a need to understand the factors that influence GP in joint populations. This study used simulated data and real data from Duroc pig populations to examine the impact of linkage disequilibrium (LD), causal variants effect sizes (CVESs), and minor allele frequencies (MAF) of SNPs on the accuracy of genomic prediction in joint populations. Three prediction methods were used: genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP), single-step GBLUP and multi-trait GBLUP. Results from the simulated datasets showed that the accuracies of GP in joint populations were always higher than those in a single population when only LD inconsistencies existed. However, single-step GBLUP accuracy in joint populations decreased as the correlation of MAF between populations decreased, while the accuracy of GBLUP is consistently higher in joint populations than in a single population. As the correlation of CVES between populations decreased, the accuracy of both GBLUP and single-step GBLUP in joint populations declined. Analysis of real Duroc populations showed low genetic correlation, similar to the simulated relationship between the most distant populations. In most cases in Duroc populations, GP have higher accuracies in joint populations than in individual population. In conclusion, the consistency of CVES plays a more important role in multi-population GP. The genetic relatedness of the Duroc populations is so weak that the prediction accuracy of GP in joint populations is reduced in some traits. Multi-trait GBLUP is a competitive method for the joint breeding evaluation.

Keywords: Across populations; Genetic relatedness; Joint breeding evaluation; Prediction methods; Simulation.