Mechanism that determines the economics of 100% renewable power systems

iScience. 2023 Sep 9;26(10):107872. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.107872. eCollection 2023 Oct 20.

Abstract

Many studies have evaluated the economic feasibility of 100% renewable power systems using the optimization approach, but the mechanisms determining the results remain unclear, making this issue still debatable. This study presents a mathematical formulation of the mechanism that only the demand and power generation profiles determine the optimal capacities of generation and storage and their trade-off relationship. Furthermore, this study demonstrates the comprehensive quantification of the corresponding relationships among the factor cost of technologies, their optimal capacities, and total system cost. Based on these findings, the study also shows that hybrid systems comprising multiple renewable energy sources and different types of storage, including long-duration energy storage, are critical to reducing the total system cost by using actual profile data for multiple years and regions in Japan. This suggests that large-scale deployment of current-level power-to-gas technologies, such as water electrolysis, can contribute to the economics of 100% renewable power systems.

Keywords: Energy Systems; Energy management; Energy modeling; Engineering.