Deep Learning Can Predict Bevacizumab Therapeutic Effect and Microsatellite Instability Directly from Histology in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

Abstract

Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) remains a significant cause of mortality among gynecologic cancers, with the majority of cases being diagnosed at an advanced stage. Before targeted therapies were available, EOC treatment relied largely on debulking surgery and platinum-based chemotherapy. Vascular endothelial growth factors have been identified as inducing tumor angiogenesis. According to several clinical trials, anti-vascular endothelial growth factor-targeted therapy with bevacizumab was effective in all phases of EOC treatment. However, there are currently no biomarkers accessible for regular therapeutic use despite the importance of patient selection. Microsatellite instability (MSI), caused by a deficiency of the DNA mismatch repair system, is a molecular abnormality observed in EOC associated with Lynch syndrome. Recent evidence suggests that angiogenesis and MSI are interconnected. Developing predictive biomarkers, which enable the selection of patients who might benefit from bevacizumab-targeted therapy or immunotherapy, is critical for realizing personalized precision medicine. In this study, we developed 2 improved deep learning methods that eliminate the need for laborious detailed image-wise annotations by pathologists and compared them with 3 state-of-the-art methods to not only predict the efficacy of bevacizumab in patients with EOC using mismatch repair protein immunostained tissue microarrays but also predict MSI status directly from histopathologic images. In prediction of therapeutic outcomes, the 2 proposed methods achieved excellent performance by obtaining the highest mean sensitivity and specificity score using MSH2 or MSH6 markers and outperformed 3 state-of-the-art deep learning methods. Moreover, both statistical analysis results, using Cox proportional hazards model analysis and Kaplan-Meier progression-free survival analysis, confirm that the 2 proposed methods successfully differentiate patients with positive therapeutic effects and lower cancer recurrence rates from patients experiencing disease progression after treatment (P < .01). In prediction of MSI status directly from histopathology images, our proposed method also achieved a decent performance in terms of mean sensitivity and specificity score even for imbalanced data sets for both internal validation using tissue microarrays from the local hospital and external validation using whole section slides from The Cancer Genome Atlas archive.

Keywords: deep learning; epithelial ovarian cancer; histopathologic images; microsatellite instability; therapeutic outcome.