[Characteristics and Driving Factors of O3 Pollution During 13th Five-Year Period in Tianjin]

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2023 Aug 8;44(8):4241-4249. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202210168.
[Article in Chinese]

Abstract

The spatial distribution, accumulation features, and driving factors of O3 pollution were analyzed using spatial autocorrelation and hotspot analysis and the STIRPAT model based on the high spatiotemporal resolution online monitoring data from 2016 to 2020 in Tianjin. The results showed that the variation characteristics of O3 concentration in Tianjin from 2016 to 2020 had the trend of pollution occurring in advance and the scope of the pollution expanding. The distribution of O3 pollution showed significant aggregation from June to October. High-high value clustering areas included six urban districts, Beichen District, Jinnan District, and Jinghai District. O3 concentration formed high value hot spots in the southwest and low value cold spots in the northeast. Meteorological factors such as temperature, breeze percentage, and sunshine duration, as well as social factors such as NOx emission, VOCs emission, and motor vehicle ownership had significant effects on O3 concentration. The regression fitting effect of the integrated drive STIRPAT model was better than that of the single meteorological factor or social factor models. In order to promote scientific and efficient prevention and control of ozone pollution during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, meteorological conditions require attention; under the goal of "peaking carbon dioxide emissions and achieving carbon neutrality," it is necessary for Tianjin to further improve the emission performance of steel, petrochemicals, thermal power, building materials, and other industries, Additionally, clean upgrading, transformation, and green development should be guided for enterprises to reduce VOCs and NOx emissions. At same time, the increase in fuel vehicle numbers should be controlled, and new energy vehicles should be vigorously promoted to reduce vehicle emissions.

Keywords: 13th Five-Year Period; STIRPAT model; Tianjin; spatial autocorrelation; spatial hotspot analysis.

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