Data-driven subgroups of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and the relationship with cardiovascular diseases at genetic and clinical levels in Chinese adults

Diabetes Metab Syndr. 2023 Sep;17(9):102850. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2023.102850. Epub 2023 Aug 30.

Abstract

Background: To subgroup Chinese patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D) by K-means cluster analysis on clinical indicators, and to explore whether these subgroups represent different genetic features and calculated cardiovascular risks.

Methods: The K-means clustering analysis was performed on two cohorts (n = 590 and 392), both consisting of Chinese participants with newly diagnosed T2D. To assess genetic risks, multiple polygenic risk scores (PRSs) and mitochondrial DNA copy numbers (mtDNA-CN) were calculated for all participants. Furthermore, Framingham risk scores (FRS) of cardiovascular diseases in two cohorts were also calculated to verify the genetic risks.

Results: Four clusters were identified including the mild age-related diabetes (MARD)(35.08%), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD) (34.41%), severe autoimmune diabetes (SAID) 19.15%, and severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD) 11.36% subgroups in the MARCH (metformin, and acarbose in Chinese patients as the initial hypoglycemic treatment) cohort. There was a significant difference in PRS for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) across four subgroups in the MARCH cohort (p < 0.05). Compared with the SIDD and SIRD subgroups, patients in the MOD subgroup had a relatively lower PRS for CVD (p < 0.05) in the MARCH cohort. Females had a higher PRS compared to males, with no significant difference in FRS across the four clusters. The MOD subgroup had a significantly lower FRS which was consistent with the results of PRS. Similar results of PRS and FRS were also replicated in the CONFIDENCE (comparison of glycemic control and b-cell function among newly diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes treated with exenatide, insulin or pioglitazone) cohort.

Conclusion: There are different CVD risks in diabetic subgroups based on clinical and genetic evidence which may promote precision medicine.

Keywords: Cardiovascular risks; Diabetes subgroups; Machine learning; Polygenic risk score.