Independent association between age- and sex-specific metabolic syndrome severity score and cardiovascular disease and mortality

Sci Rep. 2023 Sep 5;13(1):14621. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-41546-y.

Abstract

Traditional metabolic syndrome (MetS) criteria have several limitations, which hinder its use in clinical practice. To overcome the limitations, we investigated the association between age- and sex-specific continuous MetS severity score (cMetS-S) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality beyond MetS components in the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Participants aged 20-60 years at baseline were included in the study. We excluded participants with CVD, cancer, use of corticosteroids, estimated glomerular filtration rate < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2, and those who were pregnant. We evaluated the association between cMetS-S with CVD and mortality over 18 years of follow-up among 8500 participants with continuous and quantile approaches using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. In addition, the model performance of cMetS-S for predicting CVD events was compared to the conventional MetS criteria. Participants with higher cMetS-S had a significantly increased risk for CVD, coronary (CHD) and non-coronary heart disease (non-CHD), and all-cause, cardiovascular, and sudden cardiac death. Independent of the confounders and MetS components, the cMetS-S had the HRs of 1.67 (95% CI 1.47-1.89), 1.60 (95% CI 1.37-1.86), and 1.88 (95% CI 1.50, 2.35) for CVD, CHD, and non-CHD events upon 1-SD increment, respectively. The risk of mortality was increased for 1-SD of cMetS-S (all-cause mortality, HR 1.24; 95% CI 1.09-1.41; CVD mortality, HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.20-2.45; sudden cardiac death, HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.03-2.49). The model fitness of cMetS-S was superior to the conventional MetS criteria in predicting CVD and mortality. The cMetS-S provided an additional risk for CVD and mortality beyond the individual MetS components. Standardized cMetS-S could be a potential universal measure to define MetS severity while considering the weighted contribution of MetS components and their variations by age, sex, and ethnicity.

MeSH terms

  • Cardiovascular Diseases*
  • Death, Sudden, Cardiac
  • Female
  • Heart
  • Humans
  • Iran
  • Male
  • Metabolic Syndrome*
  • Pregnancy