Prognostic analysis of stereotactic radiosurgery for brain metastases: a single-center retrospective study

Abstract

Objectives: Brain metastasis (BM) is a common event during the development of many cancers, and is also one of the main causes of death of patients. Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is an effective treatment for BM. The prognostic effects of various clinical factors on local control (LC) and overall survival (OS) after SRS treatment are still unclear. The purpose of this study is to retrospectively analyze the intracranial progression free survival (iPFS) and OS of patients receiving SRS treatment, and explore the relationship between various clinical characteristics and patient prognosis.

Materials and methods: We collected the clinical information of patients who were diagnosed with BM and received SRS treatment in our center between 2018 and 2021. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis and KM analysis for iPFS and OS were conducted in R software to investigate the prognostic effects of clinical characteristics.

Results: In total, 183 patients that received SRS in our center were enrolled in the cohort. The median iPFS for all patients was 8.87 months (95% CI 6.9-10.6), and the median OS was 16.5 months (95% CI 12.9-20.7). BM number > = 5 (HR 1.965 [95% CI 1.381-2.796], p < 0.001, FDR-corrected p < 0.001) was found to be strong predictor for shorter iPFS and OS. Subgroup analysis showed that patients with cumulative intracranial tumor volume (CITV) > = 2.14 cm³ and number > = 5 had shortest iPFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P = 0.007), compared with other subgroups. For patients with more than 5 BMs, SRS plus whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) could achieve better local control, compared with SRS alone group (P = 0.0357). Peripheral blood inflammation indicators were associated with the prognosis of BM patients in univariate Cox analysis, but not in multivariate Cox analysis.

Conclusions: BM number is an independent prognostic factor for BM patients. The prognosis of patients in the subgroup with larger CITV and more BM is the worst. For patients with more than 5 BM, the combination of SRS and WBRT can improve the local control, but cannot prolong the OS.

Keywords: Brain metastasis; Local control; Prognosis; SRS.