Neurosurgery Resident Attrition Rates Defy Trends and Decrease During COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

Objective: We sought to determine the effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on U.S. neurosurgery resident attrition. We report the changes in resident attrition due to transfers, withdrawal, or dismissal from program training during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods: Neurosurgery resident attrition data reported by the American Council of Graduate Medical Education for the academic year starting in July 2007 to the academic year ending in June 2022 were collected, and the rate of attrition was calculated. Individual postgraduate year program transfer rates were also calculated for the previous 7 consecutive academic years. The attrition rates for the academic years before the pandemic were compared with those during the pandemic.

Results: A total of 465 residents did not graduate from neurosurgical training during the past 15 academic years, of which 3 years were at least partially during the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in a mean attrition rate of 2.5%. The attrition rates during the pandemic were lower than those before the pandemic (1.7% vs. 2.7%; P < 0.001), driven largely by a nearly twofold decrease in the withdrawal rate (0.67% vs. 1.2%; P = 0.003). Bivariate regression between the withdrawal and attrition rates showed a statistically significant correlation (r = 0.809; P < 0.001; r² = 0.654). The first full year of the COVID-19 pandemic saw the most dramatic changes, with a z score for attrition of -1.9. Linear regression of the effect of training during the COVID-19 pandemic on attrition revealed a statistically significant difference (r = 0.563; P = 0.029; r² = 0.317). The rate of withdrawal was most affected by training during the pandemic (r = 0.594; P = 0.010; r² = 0.353).

Conclusions: A statistically significant decline occurred in the rate of neurosurgery resident attrition during the COVID-19 pandemic that was most notable during the first full academic year (2020-2021). These findings were largely driven by a decrease in residents withdrawing from training programs. This contrasts with the overall trend toward resignation among healthcare workers during the pandemic. It is unclear what enduring ramifications this will have on neurosurgery residencies moving forward and whether we will see higher attrition rates as we transition toward a new normal. Future studies should examine trends in the attrition rates after the COVID-19 pandemic and determine the long-term effects of decreased attrition rates of residents during the pandemic.

Keywords: Attrition; COVID-19; Neurosurgical education; Resident education.