Lifetime Body Weight Trajectories and Risk of Renal Cell Cancer: A Large U.S. Prospective Cohort Study

Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2023 Nov 1;32(11):1651-1659. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-23-0668.

Abstract

Background: Body mass index (BMI) is a known risk factor for renal cell cancer (RCC), but data are limited as to the effect of lifetime exposure to excess body weight.

Methods: Using the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (N = 138,614, 527 incident RCCs), we identified several anthropometric measures to capture the lifetime BMI patterns: (i) BMI at specific ages; (ii) adulthood BMI trajectories; (iii) cumulative exposure to overweight/obesity denoted as weighted years of living overweight/obese (WYO); and (iv) weight change during each age span. We conducted multivariable Cox model to quantify the association between each anthropometric metric and incident RCC.

Results: A higher BMI at ages 20 and 50 and at baseline was associated with a greater hazard of RCC. Compared with individuals who retained normal BMI throughout adulthood, we observed an increased hazard of RCC for BMI trajectory of progressing from normal BMI to overweight [HR, 1.49; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-1.87], from normal BMI to obesity (HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.70-2.90), and from overweight to obesity (HR, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.81-4.27). Compared with individuals who were never overweight (WYO = 0), elevated HRs were observed among individuals who experienced low (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.99-1.74), medium (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.20-2.05), and high (HR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.62-2.72) WYO tertile. Weight gain of ≥10 kg was associated with increased RCC incidence for each age span.

Conclusions: Across the lifespan, being overweight/obese, weight gain, and higher cumulative exposure to excess weight were all associated with increased RCC risk.

Impact: It is important to avoid weight gain and assess BMI from a life-course perspective to reduce RCC risk.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Body Mass Index
  • Body-Weight Trajectory*
  • Carcinoma, Renal Cell* / epidemiology
  • Carcinoma, Renal Cell* / etiology
  • Clinical Trials as Topic
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kidney Neoplasms* / epidemiology
  • Kidney Neoplasms* / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Obesity / complications
  • Obesity / epidemiology
  • Overweight / complications
  • Overweight / epidemiology
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Weight Gain
  • Young Adult