Response of the runoff process to meteorological drought: Baseflow index as an important indicator

Abstract

Runoff and baseflow are two hydrological elements most closely involved in water-resource management. Defining the response of runoff/baseflow to meteorological drought (MD) is helpful for designing precise drought resisting measures. Thus, Pearson correlation coefficients and mutual information scores between runoff/baseflow and MD in five sub-basins of the Weihe River Basin (WRB) were estimated on a weekly scale, and the best response times of runoff/baseflow to MD on annual and calendar months were determined according to the maximum degree of response. Furthermore, the spatial and seasonal differences in response characteristics in the WRB were discussed and the baseflow index (BFI) was introduced to further explain the propagation process of MD to runoff/baseflow. The results showed that (1) in addition to the response time, the transition sequences of MD propagating to runoff and baseflow varied across basins due to the specific basin properties; (2) Response time of runoff to MD was related to BFI value and showed significant seasonality and hydrological periodicity. In summer and autumn (wet season), the response was faster and stronger, whereas the opposite occurred in winter and spring (normal/dry season); (3) BFI values indicated the main path of drought propagation, explaining the variation in response time between basins and seasons; hence, it can be used to simply and effectively determine the propagation speed of MD to runoff. This study clarified the response characteristics of the runoff process to MD and enhanced our understanding of the drought propagation process, which is crucial for mitigating and managing drought-related hazards.

Keywords: Baseflow index; Hydrological elements; Meteorological drought; Response time; Seasonality; Transition sequence.