Three-dimensional Budyko framework incorporating terrestrial water storage: Unraveling water-energy dynamics, vegetation, and ocean-atmosphere interactions

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Dec 15:904:166380. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166380. Epub 2023 Aug 16.

Abstract

The two-dimensional steady-state Budyko framework, widely used to study water-energy dynamics in landscapes, primarily focused on the partitioning of precipitation into evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield. Though this framework has been extended by incorporating water storage changes into precipitation input for non-steady state conditions, the interactions among water-energy dynamics, vegetation covers, and ocean-atmosphere oscillations within the Budyko framework at finer spatial and temporal scales have been unexplored. This study aims to investigate the interactions of regional hydroclimatic conditions, vegetation, and climate teleconnections over the Indo-China Peninsula (ICP), a region highly vulnerable to climate change. To achieve the objective, we propose a three-dimensional Budyko framework that incorporates the ratio of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)-based terrestrial water storage (TWS) or its changes (TWSC) to precipitation (SI/SCI) as the third dimension alongside the traditional two-dimensional Budyko framework. Our findings reveal that TWS has a significant impact on the Budyko framework, particularly during the dry season. The dryness index (DI)/evaporative index (EI) and SI/SCI exhibit positive (strongly negative) linear relationships in the wet (dry) season, respectively. Vegetation covers strongly influence the three-dimensional Budyko framework, with poor performance observed in highly vegetated regions due to high ET demand. Through relative importance analysis, we identify the Silk Road Pattern (SRP) as the most influential climate teleconnection among nine different teleconnections, affecting hydroclimatic conditions over the ICP. Positive (negative) phases of SRP encourage water-limited (energy-limited) ET conditions. This demonstrates that the Budyko parameter is influenced not only by landscapes but also by climate teleconnections, offering potential benefits for Budyko parameter estimation. Furthermore, the linear relationships between DI/EI and SI/SCI in three-dimensional Budyko framework can provide a promising alternative method for evapotranspiration and groundwater estimation.

Keywords: Indo-China peninsula; Ocean-atmosphere teleconnections; Terrestrial water storage; Three-dimensional Budyko framework.