Introduction: It remains unclear whether systemic factors are associated with an increased risk of vitreous hemorrhage (VH) secondary to polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy (PCV), and there is no method to predict the possibility of VH occurrence in patients with PCV. This study aimed to investigate and visualize systemic risk factors for VH in patients with PCV.
Methods: Data on the sex, age, history of systematic diseases, best-corrected visual acuity, intraocular pressure, and laboratory data of patients with PCV were collected from the medical record system. Univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression analyses were applied to investigate independent risk factors for VH in patients with PCV. Receiver operating characteristic analysis and nomograms were used to visualize the independent risk factors.
Results: The patient population comprised 115 patients with VH secondary to PCV and 181 patients with PCV without VH. Binary logistic regression analyses showed that higher white blood cell count [WBC; odds ratios (OR) 1.247], higher aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT; OR 2.339), and longer activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT; OR 1.196) were independent risk factors of VH in patients with PCV. Integrated application of APTT, AST/ALT, and WBC as markers showed the best performance for distinguishing patients with VH, with an area under the curve of 0.723. The nomogram was created for doctors to calculate the possibility of VH in a patient with PCV.
Conclusions: Higher WBC, higher AST/ALT, and longer APTT are independent serum risk factors of VH secondary to PCV, which may shed light on VH prevention in patients with PCV.
Keywords: Nomogram; Polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy; Risk factors; Vitreous hemorrhage.
© 2023. The Author(s).