We aimed to investigate the predictive validity of monocyte to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (MHR) for coronary artery lesions (CALs) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in complete Kawasaki disease (KD). MHR values of a total of 207 complete KD patients were calculated and analyzed with regard to their clinical characteristics and outcomes. We compared the differences in clinical data and laboratory parameters between CAL+ group and CAL- group as well as between IVIG-resistant group and IVIG-responsive group. Spearman's correlation analysis was applied to evaluate the correlation between C-reactive protein (CRP) and MHR. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors of CALs and IVIG resistance. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was chosen to determine the optimal cut-off value of MHR and its validity in predicting CALs and IVIG resistance. The MHR level was significantly higher in the CAL+ group, with cut-off value of 1.30 g/L, yielding a sensitivity of 0.753 and specificity of 0.805, as well as in IVIG-resistant group, with cut-off value of 1.03 g/L, yielding a sensitivity of 0.97 and specificity of 0.485. Multivariate logistic regression showed that MHR was an independent risk factor for CALs but not for IVIG resistance. According to the Spearman's correlation analysis, CRP was positively correlated with the MHR.
Conclusions: As a practical, cost-effective inflammatory biomarker, MHR has a significantly predictive value in complete KD children complicated with CALs and IVIG-resistance. Paying more attention to the changes of MHR in KD children may contribute to better understanding of KD development and prognosis in clinical practice.
What is known: • CALs are the most prevalent serious sequela of KD, and approximately 10%~20% of patients do not respond to IVIG therapy. • MHR could be a convenient biomarker to predict the development and progression of CVDs. It has been reported that the MHR is a new prognostic biomarker in several CVDs.
What is new: • MHR has a significantly predictive value in KD children complicated with CALs and IVIG-resistance. • Compared with the molecular and immunological biomarkers that have been reported, MHR has the characteristics of practical, cost-effective, higher sensitivity and specificity, which can be used as a predictive indicator in complete KD patients.
Keywords: Coronary artery lesions; Immunoglobulin resistance; Kawasaki disease; Monocyte to HDL-C ratio; Prediction.
© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.