Maximal oxygen uptake prediction from submaximal bicycle ergometry using a differential model

Abstract

The maximal oxygen uptake (VO₂max) estimation has been a subject of research for many years. Cardiorespiratory measurements during incremental tests until exhaustion are considered the golden yard stick to assess VO₂max. However, precise VO₂max determination based on submaximal tests is attractive for athlete as well for clinical populations. Here, we propose and verify such a method based on experimental data. Using a recently developed model of heart rate (HR) and VO₂ kinetics in graded exercise tests, we applied a protocol, which is terminated at 80% of the estimated maximal HR during ergometer cycling. In our approach, initially, formula for maximal HR is selected by retrospective study of a reference population (17 males, 23.5 ± 2.0 years, BMI: 23.9 ± 3.2 kg/m²). Next, the subjects for experimental group were invited (nine subjects of both sexes: 25.1 ± 2.1 years, BMI 23.2 ± 2.2 kg/m²). After calculation of maximal HR using cardiorespiratory recordings from the submaximal test, VO₂max is predicted. Finally, we compared the prediction with the values from the maximal exercise test. The differences were quantified by relative errors, which vary from 1.2% up to 13.4%. Some future improvements for the procedure of VO₂max prediction are discussed. The experimental protocol may be useful for application in rehabilitation assessment and in certain training monitoring settings, since physical exertion is not a prerequisite and the approach provides an acceptable VO₂max estimation accuracy.