Rice yield and quality in response to daytime and nighttime temperature increase - A meta-analysis perspective

Abstract

Increased heat stress during cropping season poses significant challenges to rice production, yet the complex stoichiometry between rice grain yield, quality and high daytime, nighttime temperature remains with gaps in current knowledge. We conducted a meta-analysis using a combined dataset of 1105 experiments for daytime temperature and 841 experiments for nighttime temperature from published literature to investigate the effects of high daytime temperature (HDT) and high nighttime temperatures (HNT) on rice yield and its various components (such as panicle number, spikelet number per panicle, seed set rate, grain weight) and grain quality traits (such as milling yield, chalkiness, amylose and protein contents). We established relationships between rice yield, its components, grain quality and the HDT/HNT, and studied phenotypic plasticity of the traits in response to HDT and HNT. Results showed that HNT had a more detrimental impact on rice yield and quality when compared with the HDT. The optimum daytime and nighttime temperatures for best rice yield were approximately 28 °C and 22 °C, respectively. Grain yield showed a decline by 7% and 6% for each 1 °C increase in HNT and HDT, respectively, when exceeded the optimum temperatures. Seed set rate (i.e., percent fertility) was the most sensitive trait to HDT and HNT and accounted for most of the yield losses. Both the HDT and HNT affected grain quality by increasing chalkiness and decreasing head rice percentage, which may affect marketability of the rice produced. Additionally, HNT was found to significantly impact nutritional quality (e.g., protein content) of rice grains. Our findings fill current knowledge gaps on estimations of rice yield losses and possible economic consequences under high temperatures and suggest that impacts on rice quality should also be considered for selection and breeding of high-temperature tolerant rice varieties in response to HDT and HNT.

Keywords: Climate change; Heat stress; Protein content; Rice quality; Seed set rate; Yield loss.