Spatiotemporal evolution and characteristics of worldwide life expectancy

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Aug;30(37):87145-87157. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-28330-1. Epub 2023 Jul 7.

Abstract

Exploring global differences in life expectancy can facilitate the development of strategies to narrow regional disparities. However, few researchers have systematically examined patterns in the evolution of worldwide life expectancy over a long time period. Spatial differences among 181 countries in 4 types of worldwide life expectancy patterns from 1990 to 2019 were investigated via geographic information system (GIS) analysis. The aggregation characteristics of the spatiotemporal evolution of life expectancy were revealed by local indicators of spatial association. The analysis employed spatiotemporal sequence-based kernel density estimation and explored the differences in life expectancy among regions with the Theil index. We found that the global life expectancy progress rate shows upward then downward patterns over the last 30 years. Female have higher rates of spatiotemporal progression in life expectancy than male, with less internal variation and a wider spatial aggregation. The global spatial and temporal autocorrelation of life expectancy shows a weakening trend. The difference in life expectancy between male and female is reflected in both intrinsic causes of biological differences and extrinsic causes such as environment and lifestyle habits. Investment in education pulls apart differences in life expectancy over long time series. These results provide scientific guidelines for obtaining the highest possible level of health in countries around the world.

Keywords: Kernel density; Life expectancy; Qualitative analysis; Spatial association; Spatiotemporal evolution; Theil index.

MeSH terms

  • Female
  • Geographic Information Systems*
  • Global Health
  • Humans
  • Investments
  • Life Expectancy*
  • Male
  • Spatial Analysis