Association between vaccination and the risk of central demyelination: results from a case-referent study

Abstract

Background: Few studies documented the potential association between vaccination and the risk of central demyelination (CD). Specifically, anti-hepatitis B and anti-human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines have been the subject of distrust with regard to their implication to trigger CD.

Methods: From a systematic national registry, patients with first signs of CD (cases) were identified and documented for their exposure to vaccination up to 24 months before the first signs occurred. This exposure was compared to that of a representative sample of general practice patients without a history of CD, randomly selected from a national registry (referents). CD cases were 2:1 matched on age, sex, index date (ID), and region of residence. Vaccines against influenza, HPV, hepatitis B and diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-poliomyelitis-haemophilus (DTPPHae) were considered. Associations between vaccination and CD were assessed using multivariate conditional logistic regressions, controlled for confounding factors.

Findings: 564 CD cases were matched to 1,128 randomly selected referents (age range: 2-79 years old). Overall, 123 (22%) CD cases and 320 (28%) referents had received at least one vaccine within 24 months before ID. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for any vaccination were 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) [0.54-0.88] with respect to any CD first signs, 0.68 [0.51-0.90] for myelitis and 0.70 [0.42-1.17] for optic neuritis. Adjusted ORs for any CD first signs were 1.02 [0.71-1.47] for influenza vaccine (administered in 9.6% of cases and 10.4% of referents) and 0.72 [0.53-0.99] for DTPPHae vaccine (administered in 10.8% of cases and 14.5% of referents). Vaccines against hepatitis B and HPV were only administered in 1.1% and 1.2% of cases and in 2.9% and 3.2% of referents respectively, which statistically explained the point estimates < 1 (ORs of 0.39 [0.16-0.94] and of 0.32 [0.13-0.80]).

Interpretation: No increased risk of CD incidence was observed amongst vaccinated patients. Lower rates of vaccination against hepatitis B and HPV observed in patients with CD compared to referents may be due to the reluctance of physicians to vaccinate patients considered at risk of CD.

Keywords: Case-referent study; Central demyelination; Multiple sclerosis; Vaccines.