Performance of 3 frailty scales for predicting adverse outcomes at 30 days in older patients discharged from emergency departments

Emergencias. 2023 Jun;35(3):196-204.
[Article in Spanish, English]

Abstract

Objectives: To compare the ability of 3 frailty scales (the Clinical Frailty Scale [CFS], the Functional Index - eMergency [FIM], and the Identification of Seniors at Risk [ISAR] scale) to predict adverse outcomes at 30 days in older patients discharged from hospital emergency departments (EDs).

Material and methods: Secondary analysis of data from the FRAIL-Madrid registry of patients aged 75 years or older who were discharged from Madrid EDs over a period of 3 months in 2018 and 2019. Frailty was defined by a CFS score over 4, a FIM score over 2, or an ISAR score over 3. The outcome variables were revisits to an ED, hospitalization, functional decline, death, and a composite variable of finding any of the previously named variables within 30 days of discharge.

Results: A total of 619 patients were studied. The mean (SD) age was 84 (7) years, and 59.1% were women. The CFS identified as frail a total of 339 patients (54.8%), the FIM 386 (62.4%), and the ISAR 301 (48.6%). An adverse outcome occurred within 30 days in 226 patients (36.5%): 21.5% revisited, 12.6% were hospitalized, 18.4% experienced functional decline, and 3.6% died. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were as follows: CFS, 0.66 (95% CI, 0.62-0.70; P = .022); FIM, 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.71; P = .021), and ISAR, 0.64 (95% CI, 0.60-0.69; P = .023). Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) showed that frailty was an independent risk factor for presenting any of the named adverse outcomes: aOR for CFS >4, 3.18 (95% CI, 2.02-5.01), P .001; aOR for FIM > 2, 3.49 (95% CI, 2.15-5.66), P .001; and aOR for ISAR >3, 2.46 (95% CI, 1.60-3.79), P .001.

Conclusion: All 3 scales studied - the CFS, the FIM and the ISAR - are useful for identifying frail older patients at high risk of developing an adverse outcome (death, functional decline, hospitalization, or revisiting the ED) within 30 days after discharge.

Objetivo: Comparar la capacidad de tres escalas de fragilidad, Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Functional Index – eMergency (FIM) e Identification Senior at Risk (ISAR), para predecir resultados adversos (RA) a 30 días en los pacientes mayores dados de alta desde el servicio de urgencias hospitalario (SUH).

Metodo: Análisis secundario del registro FRAIL-Madrid que incluyó pacientes 75 años dados de alta de 10 SUH de Madrid durante un periodo de 3 meses entre 2018 y 2019. Se definió fragilidad como CFS 4, FIM 2 e ISAR 3. Las variables de resultado fueron revisita en urgencias, hospitalización, deterioro funcional, muerte y la variable compuesta por algún RA de los anteriores en los 30 días posteriores al alta del SUH.

Resultados: Se incluyeron 619 pacientes, la edad media fue de 84 años (DE 7), 59,1% eran mujeres. Hubo 339 pacientes (54,8%) identificados como frágiles en el SUH según CFS 4, 386 (62,4%) según FIM 2 y 301 (48,6%) según ISAR 3. Hubo 226 pacientes (36,5%) que presentaron algún RA a los 30 días tras el alta (21,5% revisita, 12,6% hospitalización,18,4% deterioro funcional y 3,6% muerte). El área bajo la curva (ABC) de la escala CFS fue de 0,66 (0,62-0,70; p = 0,022), de FIM 0,67 (0,62-0,71; p = 0,021) y de ISAR 0,64 (0,60-0,69; p = 0,023). La presencia de fragilidad fue un factor independiente de presentar algún RA a los 30 días tras el alta (CFS 4 ORa 3,18 [IC 95% 2,02-5,01, p 0,001], FIM 2 ORa 3,49 [IC 95% 2,15-5,66, p 0,001] e ISAR 3 ORa 2,46 [IC 95% 1,60-3,79, p 0,001]).

Conclusiones: Las tres escalas estudiadas –CFS, FIM, ISAR– son útiles y tienen una capacidad similar para identificar al paciente mayor frágil dado de alta del SUH con alto riesgo de presentar RA (muerte, deterioro funcional, hospitalización o revisita al SUH) a los 30 días.

Keywords: Adverse outcomes.; Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS).; Emergency department.; Functional Index – eMergency (FIM).; Identification Senior at Risk (ISAR).; Predecir, resultados adversos.; Prediction.; Urgencias..

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • Female
  • Frailty* / diagnosis
  • Frailty* / epidemiology
  • Geriatric Assessment
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Patient Discharge*
  • Risk Assessment