Prediction of survival of preoperative colorectal patients: A new tool to assess the interaction of nutritional status and inflammation

Abstract

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is responsible for the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate the application of a new nutritional status and inflammatory tool to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with CRC in the preoperative period.

Methods: Retrospective cohort study with CRC patients of both sexes treated at a hospital unit, aged ≥20 years. Data were extracted between 2007 and 2015. Multivariate Cox's models were employed to predict OS utilizing a new grade classification system (body mass index vs. percentage weight loss - BMI/%WL), inflammatory markers and clinical data.

Results: We evaluated 361 patients. BMI/%WL grade 3-4 (HR: 2.01; p = 0.001; 95% CI: 1.34-3.02) were independent predictors of poor OS. Moreover, BMI/%WL grade 3-4 + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥2.4 (HR: 2.79; p = 0.001; 95% CI: 1.54-5.03) increased the death risk in 5-years. However, low NLR (<2.4) altered the OS prognostic ability of the BMI/%WL (HR: 1.72; p = 0.099; 95% CI: 0.90-3.28).

Conclusion: BMI/%WL was independent predictors of poor OS and the interaction with NLR produced an adjustment effect. These associated tools may be useful in the clinical management of preoperative patients with CRC.

Keywords: Body mass index; Colorectal cancer; Nutritional status; Prognosis; Weight loss.