Purpose: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) genotyping on the basis of next-generation sequencing (NGS) may guide targeted therapy for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, the validity of NGS-based ctDNA genotyping for RAS/BRAF V600E mutation assessment and the efficacy of anti-EGFR and BRAF-targeted therapies on the basis of ctDNA results remains unclear.
Patients and methods: The performance of NGS-based ctDNA genotyping for RAS/BRAF V600E mutation assessment was compared with that of a validated polymerase chain reaction-based tissue testing in patients with mCRC enrolled in the GOZILA study, a nationwide plasma genotyping study. The primary end points were concordance rate, sensitivity, and specificity. The efficacy of anti-EGFR and BRAF-targeted therapies on the basis of ctDNA were also evaluated.
Results: In 212 eligible patients, the concordance rate, sensitivity, and specificity were 92.9% (95% CI, 88.6 to 96.0), 88.7% (95% CI, 81.1 to 94.0), and 97.2% (95% CI, 92.0 to 99.4) for RAS and 96.2% (95% CI, 92.7 to 98.4), 88.0% (95% CI, 68.8 to 97.5), and 97.3% (95% CI, 93.9 to 99.1) for BRAF V600E, respectively. In patients with a ctDNA fraction of ≥1.0%, sensitivity rose to 97.5% (95% CI, 91.2 to 99.7) and 100% (95% CI, 80.5 to 100.0) for RAS and BRAF V600E mutations, respectively. In addition to a low ctDNA fraction, previous chemotherapy, lung and peritoneal metastases, and interval between dates of tissue and blood collection were associated with discordance. The progression-free survival of anti-EGFR therapy and BRAF-targeted treatment was 12.9 months (95% CI, 8.1 to 18.5) and 3.7 (95% CI, 1.3 to not evaluated) months, respectively, for matched patients with RAS/BRAF V600E results by ctDNA.
Conclusion: ctDNA genotyping effectively detected RAS/BRAF mutations, especially with sufficient ctDNA shedding. Clinical outcomes support ctDNA genotyping for determining the use of anti-EGFR and BRAF-targeted therapies in patients with mCRC.