Fine particulate matter air pollution and the mortality of children under five: a multilevel analysis of the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey of 2016

Abstract

Background: Every year, polluted air is costing the globe 543,000 deaths of children under five. The particulate matter below 2.5 μm diameter (PM_2.5) is a part of air pollution that has adverse effects on children's health. In Ethiopia, the effect of ambient PM_2.5 is least explored. This study aimed to assess the association between PM_2.5 and under-five mortality in Ethiopia.

Methods: The study used the data from the Ethiopian Demographic Health Surveys conducted in 2016, collected between January 18 and June 27. All children under five who had data on child mortality and location coordinates were included in the study. Exposure to ambient PM_2.5 concentration was a satellite-based estimate by the Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group at Washington and Dalhousie University, in the United States and Canada, respectively. Annual mean pollution levels and mortality datasets were matched by children's geographical location and dates of birth, death, and interview. The relationship between ambient PM_2.5 and under-five mortality was determined by a multilevel multivariable logistic regression on R software. The statistical analyses were two-sided at a 95% confidence interval.

Results: The study addressed 10,452 children with the proportion of under-five mortality being 5.4% (95% CI 5.0-6.8%). The estimated lifetime annual mean exposure of ambient total PM_2.5 was 20.1 ± 3.3 μgm^-3. A 10-unit increase in the lifetime annual mean ambient total PM_2.5 was associated with 2.29 [95% CI 1.44, 3.65] times more odds of under-five mortality after adjusting for other variables.

Conclusion: Children under five are exposed to higher levels of ambient PM_2.5 concentration, exceeding the limit set by the World Health Organization. Ambient PM_2.5 is significantly associated with under-five mortality, adjusting for other variables. Strong measures need to be taken to reduce air pollution.

Keywords: Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group (ACAG); Demographic Health Survey (DHS); Ethiopia; air pollution; outdoor air pollution; particulate matter <2.5 μm (PM) 2.5; sub-Sharan Africa; under-five children.