Effect of High-Versus Low-Frequency of Abdominopelvic Computed Tomography Follow-Up Testing on Overall Survival in Patients With Stage II Or III Colon Cancer

Abstract

Background: Intensive surveillance of colon cancer by using the abdominopelvic computed tomography (AP-CT) is common in real world practice; however, it is still unclear whether high-frequency surveillance using AP-CT in patients with these risk factors is superior to that in the low-frequency surveillance.

Patients and methods: We retrospectively reviewed 1803 patients with stage II-III colon cancer receiving curative surgery between January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2015. We evaluated the average scan-to-scan intervals of postoperative AP-CT testing and assigned patients with an interval of 5 to 8 and 9 to 13 months to the high-frequency (HF) and low-frequency (LF) groups, respectively. The cutoff value of preoperative and postoperative CEA levels was 5 ng/mL. We also applied propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust clinicopathologic differences between the 2 groups.

Results: We matched 1:1 for each surveillance group yielding a cohort of 776 matched patients. After PSM, Baseline demographics were overall well balanced between 2 groups. Stage III (OR, 2.00; 95% Confidence interval [CI], 1.21-3.30) and postoperative CEA elevation (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.08-4.92) were independent risk factors of recurrence in multivariate analyses. Patient in the HF group had more surgery plus chemo- or radiotherapy as postrecurrence treatment than patient in the LF group (46.2% vs. 23.1%, P = .017). This trend was retained after PSM, although it is not significant (44.4% vs. 23.1%, P = .060). However, survival outcomes of high-frequency AP-CT surveillance were not superior to those of low-frequency surveillance in all subgroups, including stage III (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.40-2.47) and postoperative CEA elevation (HR 1.36, 95% CI 0.45-4.11).

Conclusion: High-frequency AP-CT testing is associated with a higher proportion of surgery plus chemo- or radiotherapy as postrecurrence treatment, without improvement in 5-year overall survival.

Keywords: Postoperative surveillance; Prognosis; Recurrence; Risk factor; Surveillance.