Background: The modified Oxford classification mesangial and endocapillary hypercellularity, segmental sclerosis, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, and the presence of crescents (MEST-C) of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) was recently shown to be a predictor of graft failure in Asians with recurrent IgAN. We aimed to validate these findings in a cohort from North American centers participating in the Banff Recurrent Glomerulopathies Working Group.
Methods: We examined 171 transplant recipients with end-stage kidney disease because of IgAN; 100 of them with biopsy-proven recurrent IgAN (57 of them had complete MEST-C scores) and 71 with no recurrence.
Results: IgAN recurrence, which was associated with younger age at transplantation ( P = 0.012), strongly increased the risk of death-censored graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio, 5.10 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.26-11.51]; P < 0.001). Higher MEST-C score sum was associated with death-censored graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio, 8.57 [95% CI, 1.23-59.85; P = 0.03] and 61.32 [95% CI, 4.82-779.89; P = 0.002] for score sums 2-3 and 4-5 versus 0, respectively), and so were the single components endocapillary hypercellularity, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, and crescents ( P < 0.05 each). Overall, most of the pooled adjusted hazard ratio estimates associated with each MEST-C component were consistent with those from the Asian cohort (heterogeneity I2 close to 0%, and P > 0.05).
Conclusions: Our findings may validate the prognostic usefulness of the Oxford classification for recurrent IgAN and support the inclusion of the MEST-C score in allograft biopsies diagnostic reports.
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