Development and validation of a machine learning-based detection system to improve precision screening for medication errors in the neonatal intensive care unit

Abstract

Aim: To develop models that predict the presence of medication errors (MEs) (prescription, preparation, administration, and monitoring) using machine learning in NICU patients. Design: Prospective, observational cohort study randomized with machine learning (ML) algorithms. Setting: A 22-bed capacity NICU in Ankara, Turkey, between February 2020 and July 2021. Results: A total of 11,908 medication orders (28.9 orders/patient) for 412 NICU patients (5.53 drugs/patient/day) who received 2,280 prescriptions over 32,925 patient days were analyzed. At least one physician-related ME and nurse-related ME were found in 174 (42.2%) and 235 (57.0%) of the patients, respectively. The parameters that had the highest correlation with ME occurrence and subsequently included in the model were: total number of drugs, anti-infective drugs, nervous system drugs, 5-min APGAR score, postnatal age, alimentary tract and metabolism drugs, and respiratory system drugs as patient-related parameters, and weekly working hours of nurses, weekly working hours of physicians, and number of nurses' monthly shifts as care provider-related parameters. The obtained model showed high performance to predict ME (AUC: 0.920; 95% CI: 0.876-0.970) presence and is accessible online (http://softmed.hacettepe.edu.tr/NEO-DEER_Medication_Error/). Conclusion: This is the first developed and validated model to predict the presence of ME using work environment and pharmacotherapy parameters with high-performance ML algorithms in NICU patients. This approach and the current model hold the promise of implementation of targeted/precision screening to prevent MEs in neonates. Clinical Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04899960.

Keywords: adverse drug reaction; clinical pharmacy; data collection; drug safety; machine learning; medication error; newborn.