A machine learning-based study on the impact of COVID-19 on three kinds of pollution in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Aug 1:884:163190. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163190. Epub 2023 Apr 14.

Abstract

Large-scale restrictions on anthropogenic activities in China in 2020 due to the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) indirectly led to improvements in air quality. Previous studies have paid little attention to the changes in nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) concentrations at different levels of anthropogenic activity limitation and their interactions. In this study, machine learning models were used to simulate the concentrations of three pollutants during periods of different levels of lockdown, and compare them with observations during the same period. The results show that the difference between the simulated and observed values of NO2 concentrations varies at different stages of the lockdown. Variation between simulated and observed O3 and PM2.5 concentrations were less distinct at different stages of lockdowns. During the most severe period of the lockdowns, NO2 concentrations decreased significantly with a maximum decrease of 65.28 %, and O3 concentrations increased with a maximum increase of 75.69 %. During the first two weeks of the lockdown, the titration reaction in the atmosphere was disrupted due to the rapid decrease in NO2 concentrations, leading to the redistribution of Ox (NO2 + O3) in the atmosphere and eventually to the production of O3 and secondary PM2.5. The effect of traffic restrictions on the reduction of NO2 concentrations is significant. However, it is also important to consider the increase in O3 due to the constant volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and the decrease in NOx (NO+NO2). Traffic restrictions had a limited effect on improving PM2.5 pollution, so other beneficial measures were needed to sustainably reduce particulate matter pollution. Research on COVID-19 could provide new insights into future clean air action.

Keywords: COVID-19; Lockdown; Machine learning; NO(2); O(3); PM(2.5).

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants* / analysis
  • Air Pollution* / analysis
  • Beijing
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • China / epidemiology
  • Communicable Disease Control
  • Environmental Monitoring / methods
  • Humans
  • Nitrogen Dioxide / analysis
  • Particulate Matter / analysis

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Nitrogen Dioxide
  • Particulate Matter