First-line systemic treatment strategies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A cost-effectiveness analysis

PLoS One. 2023 Apr 13;18(4):e0279786. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279786. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Background: Oral multikinase inhibitors and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are effective for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) but may increase cost. This study compared the cost-effectiveness of oral multikinase inhibitors and ICIs in the first-line treatment of patients with aHCC.

Methods: A three-state Markov model was established to study the cost-effectiveness of drug treatment from the perspective of Chinese payers. The key outcomes in this study were total cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

Results: The total costs and QALYs of sorafenib, sunitinib, donafenib, lenvatinib, sorafenib plus erlotinib, linifanib, brivanib, sintilimab plus IBI305, and atezolizumab plus bevacizumab were $9070 and 0.25, $9362 and 0.78, $33,814 and 0.45, $49,120 and 0.83, $63,064 and 0.81, $74,814 and 0.82, $81,995 and 0.82, $74083 and 0.85, and $104,188 and 0.84, respectively. The drug regimen with the lowest ICER was sunitinib ($551 per QALY), followed by lenvatinib ($68,869 per QALY). For oral multikinase inhibitors, the ICER of lenvatinib, sorafenib plus erlotinib, linifanib and brivanib compared with sunitinib was $779576, $1534,347, $1768,971, and $1963,064, respectively. For ICIs, sintilimab plus IBI305 is more cost effective than atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. The model was most sensitive to the price of sorafenib, the utility of PD, and the price of second-line drugs.

Conclusion: For oral multikinase inhibitors, the order of possible treatment options is sunitinib > lenvatinib > sorafenib plus erlotinib > linifanib > brivanib > donafenib. For ICIs, the order of possible treatment options is sintilimab plus IBI305 > atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Bevacizumab / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular* / pathology
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
  • Erlotinib Hydrochloride / therapeutic use
  • Humans
  • Liver Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • Sorafenib / therapeutic use
  • Sunitinib / therapeutic use

Substances

  • Sorafenib
  • lenvatinib
  • Bevacizumab
  • Sunitinib
  • Erlotinib Hydrochloride

Grants and funding

The work was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers: 82073818), 2, The Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of Central South University (grant numbers 2022ZZTS0282), 3, Supported by Hunan Provincial Innovation Foundation For Postgraduate (grant numbers: CX20220364).