Mammographic breast density (MBD) is a strong independent risk factor for breast cancer (BC). We investigated the association between volumetric MBD measures, their changes over time, and BC risk in a cohort of women participating in the FEDRA (Florence-EPIC Digital mammographic density and breast cancer Risk Assessment) study. The study was carried out among 6148 women with repeated MBD measures from full-field digital mammograms and repeated information on lifestyle habits, reproductive history, and anthropometry. The association between MBD measures (modeled as time-dependent covariates), their relative annual changes, and BC risk were evaluated by adjusted Cox models. During an average of 7.8 years of follow-up, 262 BC cases were identified. BC risk was directly associated with standard deviation increments of volumetric percent density (VPD, HR 1.37, 95%CI 1.22-1.54) and dense volume (DV, HR 1.29, 95%CI 1.18-1.41). An inverse association emerged with non-dense volume (NDV, HR 0.82, 95%CI 0.69-0.98). No significant associations emerged between annual changes in VPD, DV, NDV, and BC risk. Higher values of MBD measures, modeled as time-dependent covariates, were positively associated with increased BC risk, while an inverse association was evident for increasing NDV. No effect of annual changes in MBD emerged.
Keywords: breast cancer risk; digital mammograms; longitudinal study; repeated measures; volumetric mammographic breast density.