Frailty Index as a Predictor of Mortality in Middle-Aged and Older People: A Prospective Analysis of Chilean Adults

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 10;20(2):1195. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20021195.

Abstract

We aimed to investigate the association between frailty status and all-cause mortality in middle-aged and older people. We included 2661 individuals aged ≥ 35 from the Chilean National Health Survey 2009−2010. Mortality was determined through linkage with the Chilean Civil Registry and Identification. A 36-item frailty index (FI) was used to assess the frailty status. Associations between frailty status and all-cause mortality were assessed using Kaplan−Meier and Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. A non-linear association was investigated using penalized cubic splines fitted in the Cox models. During an 8.9 median follow-up (interquartile range of 8.6−9.0), 308 individuals died (11.5%). Lower survival rates were observed in frail individuals compared to pre-frail and robust people (log-rank < 0.001). Compared with robust individuals, frail people had a higher mortality risk (HR: 2.35 [95% CI: 1.57 to 3.51]). Frail middle-aged individuals had a higher risk of dying independently of major risk factors.

Keywords: Chile; frailty; middle-aged; mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Chile / epidemiology
  • Frail Elderly
  • Frailty*
  • Geriatric Assessment
  • Humans
  • Middle Aged
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Factors

Grants and funding

The Chilean National Health Survey (CNHS) 2009–2010 was funded by the Chilean Ministry of Health and led by the Department of Public Health, the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. This research did not receive any funding from agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.