Have environmental regulations restrained FDI in China? New evidence from a panel threshold model

Abstract

This paper aims to investigate the effect of environmental regulations on inward foreign direct investment in China. For this purpose, a panel threshold model was constructed to assess the threshold effects of environmental regulations on the influx of foreign direct investments (FDI) . The findings indicate that, under the influence of human capital, the impact of environmental regulations on FDI in China was characterized by a V-shaped curve, indicating an initial inhibitory effect followed by a subsequent increase. A plausible explanation is that specific pollution-generating FDI must withdraw from China because of stringent environmental regulations before human capital reaches a certain threshold level. Meanwhile, impaired by the adverse selection effect, some cleaner-production FDI cannot easily enter China. As a result, environmental regulations in this stage have an inhibitory effect on FDI in China. However, part of the pollution-generating FDI is converted into cleaner production after the human capital level reaches the threshold limit. Further, due to the positive selection effect, additional cleaner-production FDI can also enter China from different destinations. At this stage, environmental regulations boost overall FDI entering China.

Keywords: Environmental regulations; FDI; Panel threshold model.