Mysterious Outbreak of Acute Neurological Syndrome in Eluru, Andhra Pradesh, India: A Post-outbreak Geo-Spatial Analysis

Cureus. 2022 Nov 22;14(11):e31801. doi: 10.7759/cureus.31801. eCollection 2022 Nov.

Abstract

Background: An outbreak characterized by sudden-onset seizures, loss of consciousness, and complete recovery within a few hours was reported from Eluru town in Andhra Pradesh on December 6, 2020. This study was conducted to assess the environmental correlates of the outbreak using geo-mapping tools.

Methods: A post-outbreak survey was conducted among affected cases in January-February, 2021. A house-to-house survey tool collected information on demographics, clinical profile, and environmental and psychological aspects (Impact of Event Scale). Geo-mapping and news media content analyses were done using QGIS and Atlas.ti software, respectively.

Results: A total of 394 cases were studied. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age of the participants was 27 (17-39) years and comprised mostly male students. There was no clustering of cases within 48 hours of illness onset in the spatial analysis. Loss of consciousness was the first (50.7%) and the most common symptom. All cases were taken to a health facility and were discharged after a median duration of 48 minutes. COVID-19-related and environmental practices were not associated with the clinical manifestations. Awareness about pesticides was low. The outbreak reportedly had a psychological impact on 24.4% of the participants. The most common co-occurring themes in the news media analysis were water contamination and pesticides.

Conclusion: The geo-spatial analysis did not find case clustering or points of convergence during the incubation period. The geo-locations did not distribute around water bodies or suspected landmarks although news media projected water contamination and pesticides as probable causes of the outbreak.

Keywords: environmental pollution; geographic information system; outbreak; pesticides; poisoning; seizures.