Indirect transmission and disinfection strategies on heterogeneous networks

Phys Rev E. 2022 Nov;106(5-1):054309. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.106.054309.

Abstract

Besides direct contacts of individuals, indirect contacts with environments being the medium is another route of epidemic transmission, which most previous studies have ignored. Disinfection is one of the most effective and commonly used measures to prevent and control epidemic spreading. In this paper, we propose a metapopulationlike model incorporating direct and indirect transmissions for susceptible-infected-susceptible-like epidemics on heterogeneous networks. Furthermore, we explore the epidemic spreading process with heterogeneous disinfection on both spatial and time dimensions. Specifically, we put forward three types of disinfection strategies, namely, the static disinfection strategy, the random time disinfection strategy, and the event-triggered disinfection strategy. Comparative analysis of the three strategies suggests that managers should prioritize disinfection resource allocation to large-flow environments, especially when disinfection resources are limited. In addition, timely disinfection of environments with infected visitors is an effective and economical strategy. Our model sheds light on the interplay dynamics of indirect transmission and disinfection and the results provide theoretical support for governors to select proper disinfection strategies in practical scenarios.