Optimizing Clinical Outcomes Through Rational Dosing Strategies: Roles of Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic Modeling Tools

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2022 Dec 16;9(12):ofac626. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofac626. eCollection 2022 Dec.

Abstract

Significant progress in previous decades has led to several methodologies developed to facilitate the design of optimal antimicrobial dosing. In this review, we highlight common pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PKPD) modeling techniques and their roles in guiding rational dosing regimen design. In the early drug development phases, dose fractionation studies identify the PKPD index most closely associated with bacterial killing. Once discerned, this index is linked to clinical efficacy end points, and classification and regression tree analysis can be used to define the PKPD target goal. Monte Carlo simulations integrate PKPD and microbiological data to identify dosing strategies with a high probability of achieving the established PKPD target. Results then determine dosing regimens to investigate and/or validate the findings of randomized controlled trials. Further improvements in PKPD modeling could lead to an era of precision dosing and personalized therapeutics.

Keywords: Monte Carlo simulations; classification and regression tree analysis; dose fractionation studies; dosing regimen design; optimal drug dosing.

Publication types

  • Review