A novel model based on necroptosis-related genes for predicting immune status and prognosis in glioma

Abstract

Background: Glioma is a highly aggressive brain cancer with a poor prognosis. Necroptosis is a form of programmed cell death occurring during tumor development and in immune microenvironments. The prognostic value of necroptosis in glioma is unclear. This study aimed to develop a prognostic glioma model based on necroptosis.

Methods: A necroptosis-related risk model was constructed by Cox regression analysis based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) training set, validated in two Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) validation sets. We explored the differences in immune infiltration and immune checkpoint genes between low and high risk groups and constructed a nomogram. Moreover, we compiled a third validation cohort including 43 glioma patients. The expression of necroptosis-related genes was verified in matched tissues using immunochemical staining in the third cohort, and we analyzed their relationship to clinicopathological features.

Results: Three necroptosis-related differentially expressed genes (EZH2, LEF1, and CASP1) were selected to construct the prognostic model. Glioma patients with a high risk score in the TCGA and CGGA cohorts had significantly shorter overall survival. The necroptosis-related risk model and nomogram exhibited good predictive performance in the TCGA training set and the CGGA validation sets. Furthermore, patients in the high risk group had higher immune infiltration status and higher expression of immune checkpoint genes, which was positively correlated with poorer outcomes. In the third validation cohort, the expression levels of the three proteins encoded by EZH2, LEF1, and CASP1 in glioma tissues were significantly higher than those from paracancerous tissues. They were also closely associated with disease severity and prognosis.

Conclusions: Our necroptosis-related risk model can be used to predict the prognosis of glioma patients and improve prognostic accuracy, which may provide potential therapeutic targets and a theoretical basis for treatment.

Keywords: glioma; immune checkpoint; immune infiltration; necroptosis; prognostic model.