Life expectancy and human capital: New empirical evidence

Health Econ. 2023 Feb;32(2):395-412. doi: 10.1002/hec.4626. Epub 2022 Oct 31.

Abstract

This paper re-examines a well-established hypothesis postulating that life expectancy augments incentives for human capital accumulation, leading to global income differences. A major distinguishing feature of the current study is to estimate heterogeneous panel data models under a common factor framework, which explicitly accounts for parameter heterogeneity, unobserved common factors (UCFs), and variables' non-stationarity. In sharp contrast to most previous studies, I find that the impact of health improvements on human capital accumulation turns out to be imprecisely estimated at conventionally accepted levels of statistical significance. I demonstrate that conventional estimates of the educational returns to rising longevity are derived from estimating misspecified models at least partially due to parameter heterogeneity and the presence of UCFs.

Keywords: cross-sectional dependence; human capital; life expectancy; misspecification; parameter heterogeneity.

MeSH terms

  • Educational Status
  • Humans
  • Income*
  • Life Expectancy*
  • Longevity