Traffic flow forecasting is a critical input to intelligent transportation systems. Accurate traffic flow forecasting can provide an effective reference for implementing traffic management strategies, developing travel route planning, and public transportation risk assessment. Recent deep learning approaches of spatiotemporal neural networks to predict traffic flow show promise, but could be difficult to separately model the spatiotemporal aggregation in traffic data and intrinsic correlation or redundancy of spatiotemporal features extracted by the filter of the convolutional network. This can introduce biases in the predictions that interfere with subsequent planning decisions in transportation. To solve the mentioned problem, the filter attention-based spatiotemporal neural network (FASTNN) was proposed in this paper. First, the model used 3-dimensional convolutional neural networks to extract universal spatiotemporal dependencies from three types of historical traffic flow, the residual units were employed to prevent network degradation. Then, the filter spatial attention module was constructed to quantify the spatiotemporal aggregation of the features, thus enabling dynamic adjustment of the spatial weights. To model the intrinsic correlation and redundancy of features, this paper also constructed a lightweight module, named matrix factorization based resample module, which automatically learned the intrinsic correlation of the same features to enhance the concentration of the model on information-rich features, and used matrix factorization to reduce the redundant information between different features. The FASTNN has experimented on two large-scale real datasets (TaxiBJ and BikeNYC), and the experimental results show that the FASTNN has better prediction performance than various baselines and variant models.
Keywords: filter spatial attention; matrix factorization based resample; spatiotemporal aggregation; spatiotemporal neural networks; traffic flow prediction.