Breast cancer is the most common disease among women, with over 2.1 million new diagnoses each year worldwide. About 30% of patients initially presenting with early stage disease have a recurrence of cancer within 10 years. Predicting who will have a recurrence and who will not remains challenging, with consequent implications for associated treatment. Artificial intelligence strategies that can predict the risk of recurrence of breast cancer could help breast cancer clinicians avoid ineffective overtreatment. Despite its significance, most breast cancer recurrence datasets are insufficiently large, not publicly available, or imbalanced, making these studies more difficult. This systematic review investigates the role of artificial intelligence in the prediction of breast cancer recurrence. We summarise common techniques, features, training and testing methodologies, metrics, and discuss current challenges relating to implementation in clinical practice. We systematically reviewed works published between 1 January 2011 and 1 November 2021 using the methodology of Kitchenham and Charter. We leveraged Springer, Google Scholar, PubMed, and IEEE search engines. This review found three areas that require further work. First, there is no agreement on artificial intelligence methodologies, feature predictors, or assessment metrics. Second, issues such as sampling strategies, missing data, and class imbalance problems are rarely addressed or discussed. Third, representative datasets for breast cancer recurrence are scarce, which hinders model validation and deployment. We conclude that predicting breast cancer recurrence remains an open problem despite the use of artificial intelligence.
Keywords: artificial intelligence; breast cancer; feature predictors; machine learning; risk of recurrence; systematic review.