Identification and validation of a novel prognostic model of inflammation-related gene signature of lung adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Previous literatures have suggested the importance of inflammatory response during lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) development. This study aimed at exploring the inflammation-related genes and developing a prognostic signature for predicting the prognosis of LUAD. Survival‑associated inflammation-related genes were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis in the dataset of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalized Cox regression model was used to derive a risk signature which is significantly negatively correlated with OS and divide samples into high-, medium- and low-risk group. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses suggested that the level of risk group was an independent prognostic factor of the overall survival (OS). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve indicated the AUC of 1-, 3- and 5-years of the risk signature was 0.715, 0.719, 0.699 respectively. A prognostic nomogram was constructed by integrating risk group and clinical features. The independent dataset GSE30219 of Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) was used for verification. We further explored the differences among risk groups in Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA), tumor mutation and tumor microenvironment. Furthermore, Single Sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (ssGSEA) and the results of Cell-type Identification By Estimating Relative Subsets Of RNA Transcripts (CIBERSORT) suggested the status of immune cell infiltration was highly associated with risk groups. We demonstrated the prediction effect of CTLA-4 and PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in the low-risk group was better than that in the high-risk group using two methods of immune score include immunophenoscore from The Cancer Immunome Atlas (TCIA) and TIDE score from Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE). In addition, partial targeted drugs and chemotherapy drugs for lung cancer had higher drug sensitivity in the high-risk group. Our findings provide a foundation for future research targeting inflammation-related genes to predictive prognosis and some reference significance for the selection of immunotherapy and drug regimen for lung adenocarcinoma.