The Role of Lebanon in the COVID-19 Butterfly Effect: The B.1.398 Example

Viruses. 2022 Jul 27;14(8):1640. doi: 10.3390/v14081640.

Abstract

In the present study, we provide a retrospective genomic surveillance of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Lebanon; we newly sequence the viral genomes of 200 nasopharyngeal samples collected between July 2020 and February 2021 from patients in different regions of Lebanon and from travelers crossing the Lebanese-Syrian border, and we also analyze the Lebanese genomic dataset available at GISAID. Our results show that SARS-CoV-2 infections in Lebanon during this period were shaped by the turnovers of four dominant SARS-CoV-2 lineages, with B.1.398 being the first to thoroughly dominate. Lebanon acted as a dispersal center of B.1.398 to other countries, with intercontinental transmissions being more common than within-continent. Within the country, the district of Tripoli, which was the source of 43% of the total B.1.398 sequences in our study, was identified as being an important source of dispersal in the country. In conclusion, our findings exemplify the butterfly effect, by which a lineage that emerges in a small area can be spread around the world, and highlight the potential role of developing countries in the emergence of new variants.

Keywords: B.1.398; Lebanon; SARS-CoV-2; dispersal; lineages.

Publication types

  • Case Reports
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Lebanon / epidemiology
  • Pandemics
  • Retrospective Studies
  • SARS-CoV-2 / genetics

Grants and funding

This study was supported by the Lebanese University (COVID-19 project) and Fondation Mérieux. This work was developed within the frameworks of Corona-ômica-RJ (FAPERJ = E-26/210.179/2020 and E-26/211.107/2021) and NGS-BRICS (CNPq 440931/2020-7). A.T.R.V. is supported by CNPq (307145/2021-2) and FAPERJ (E-26/201.046/2022). D.N. is a Ph.D. student supported by a scholarship from the GABRIEL network and Fondation Mérieux. M.O. is supported by the Atkinson Postdoctoral Fellowship (Cornell University).