Multi-View Travel Time Prediction Based on Electronic Toll Collection Data

Entropy (Basel). 2022 Jul 30;24(8):1050. doi: 10.3390/e24081050.

Abstract

The travel time prediction of vehicles is an important part of intelligent expressways. It can not only provide the vehicle distribution trend of each section for the expressway management department to assist the fine management of the expressway, but it can also provide owners with dynamic and accurate travel time prediction services to assist the owners to formulate more reasonable travel plans. However, there are still some problems in the current travel time prediction research (e.g., different types of vehicles are not processed separately, the proximity of the road network is not considered, and the capture of important information in the spatial-temporal perspective is not considered in depth). In this paper, we propose a Multi-View Travel Time Prediction (MVPPT) model. First, the travel times of different types of vehicles of each section in the expressway are analyzed, and the main differences in the travel times of different types of vehicles are obtained. Second, multiple travel time features are constructed, which include a novel spatial proximity feature. On this basis, we use CNN to capture the spatial correlation and the spatial attention mechanism to capture key information, the BiLSTM to capture the time correlation of time series, and the time attention mechanism capture key time information. Experiments on large-scale real traffic data demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposal over state-of-the-art methods.

Keywords: electronic toll collection; expressway; spatial proximity; travel time; vehicle type.

Grants and funding

This work is funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41971340), the Special Funds for the Central Government to Guide Local Scientific and Technological Development (2020L3014), the 2020 Fujian Province “the Belt and Road” Technology Innovation Platform (2020D002), the Provincial Candidates for the Hundred, Thousand and Ten Thousand Talent of Fujian (GY-Z19113), and Crosswise project (No.GY-H-21021).