Aim: The aim of study was to evaluate completeness and estimate sensitivity of the measles surveillance using the new electronic version of the national notification system of infectious diseases (ISIN) in order to assess its performance.
Material and methods: The completeness of measles reporting in the ISIN for demographic characteristics (week and region of reporting, age and gender), date of onset, complications, hospitalisations, vaccination status, used laboratory methods and country of import from January 2018 to June 2019 was assessed. The register from National Reference Laboratory (NRL) and the ISIN were compared using the capture-recapture method (CRM). Cases were matched using unique personal identifier. The total number of measles cases in the population was assessed using the Chapmans formula. Sensitivity of reporting was calculated by dividing the number of reported cases by the CRM estimated true number of cases.
Results: In the ISIN, 765 measles cases were registered within specified time period. For many variables 100% completeness was found. The data were missing mainly for vaccination status (20%), serology results (55%) and used laboratory methods (8%). The NRL confirmed 653 patient samples in respected period. Within both registries (ISIN and NRL) the total 612 cases were matched. Estimated real number of measles cases using the CRM was 816 (95% CI: 809-823) compared to 806 reported cases. The estimated surveillance system sensitivity was 98.8%. Five percent (n = 41) of cases tested positively in the NRL were not reported to the ISIN.
Conclusions: We found high level of reported measles data completeness in the ISIN for most variables. Estimated real and reported number of cases was in a good correlation and calculated sensitivity of the ISIN was on very high level. Though, the data sources used in the study were not independent on each other, therefore results may not be fully accurate. The technical changes (more mandatory fields and more logical syntax to check data) in the ISIN to improve data completeness are being recommended. Data providers should report all measles cases to the ISIN with maximum precision in entering individual variables and investigating laboratories should send samples for confirmation to the NRL in required cases.
Keywords: analytical study; applied epidemiology; capture-recapture method; measles; surveillance.